Alpha Systems (Germany) Performance

AN5 Stock  EUR 20.60  0.20  0.96%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.32, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alpha Systems' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alpha Systems is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Alpha Systems has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to confirm Alpha Systems' total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Alpha Systems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Alpha Systems has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0386
Payout Ratio
0.4513
Last Split Factor
1.2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.79
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-30
1
How higher bond yields impact Alpha Systems Inc. stock - Quarterly Earnings Report Consistent Profit Trading Strategies - newser.com
11/18/2025
2
Can Alpha Systems Inc. stock test all time highs - July 2025 Opening Moves Scalable Portfolio Growth Ideas - Newser
12/04/2025
3
FactSet Research Systems Stock Is Cheap Considering The Growth Acceleration Potential - Seeking Alpha
01/14/2026
4
Alpha Systems Posts Higher Nine-Month Profit, Confirms FY2026 Outlook and Dividend Plan - TipRanks
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow25.1 B
Free Cash Flow1.4 B
  

Alpha Systems Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,220  in Alpha Systems on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (160.00) from holding Alpha Systems or give up 7.21% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alpha Systems is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.4721% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 13% of traded stocks are less volatile than Alpha, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alpha Systems is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Alpha Systems Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Alpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.60 90 days 20.60 
about 88.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Systems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.26 (This Alpha Systems probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alpha Systems has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alpha Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alpha Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alpha Systems has an alpha of 0.0213, implying that it can generate a 0.0213 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alpha Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alpha Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1120.5822.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4320.9022.37
Details

Alpha Systems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.0092

Alpha Systems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Alpha Systems Posts Higher Nine-Month Profit, Confirms FY2026 Outlook and Dividend Plan - TipRanks

Alpha Systems Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14 M
Dividends Paid1.6 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.79
Shares FloatM

Alpha Systems Fundamentals Growth

Alpha Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alpha Systems, and Alpha Systems fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alpha Stock performance.

About Alpha Systems Performance

By analyzing Alpha Systems' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Alpha Systems' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Alpha Systems has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alpha Systems has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Alpha Systems Inc. develops software for backbone communications systems in Japan. Alpha Systems Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Kawasaki, Japan. ALPHA SYSTEMS operates under SoftwareApplication classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 2826 people.

Things to note about Alpha Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Alpha Systems Posts Higher Nine-Month Profit, Confirms FY2026 Outlook and Dividend Plan - TipRanks
Evaluating Alpha Systems' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Alpha Systems' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Alpha Systems' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alpha Systems' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Alpha Systems' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Alpha Systems' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alpha Systems' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alpha Systems' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alpha Systems' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Alpha Systems' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Alpha Systems' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Alpha Stock analysis

When running Alpha Systems' price analysis, check to measure Alpha Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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